左主干暨冠状动脉分叉病变峰会，CBS2019 - CBS 2019

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Left Main & Coronary Bifurcation Summit (CBS) was founded in 2006 as a think tank dedicated to the treatment of left main and coronary bifurcation lesions. CBS aims to improve cardiological care by refreshing fundamental researches, clinical trials, yearly published guidelines, emerged ideas and case-based discussion.

Association and Affiliations
- Organized by
  
  Nanjing Heart Center
  
  Asian Bifurcation Club (ABC)
  
  Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University
- Co-organized by
  
  Chinese Society of Cardiology (CSC)
  
  Capacity Building and Continuing Education Center,National Health and Family Planning Commission (CBCEC)
  
  American Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI)
  
  Asian Heart Society (AHS)
Contact Us
- Registration Administration of Domestic Representatives
  
  Hongjuan Peng : +86-13913895477
  
  Haimei Xu +86-13914736846
  
  cbsnj@cbsmd.cn
- Registration Administration of Overseas Representatives
  
  Ling Lin : +86 (25) 52271398
  
  +86-13951884596
  
  cbs@cbsmd.cn
- Management of Challenging Cases
  
  Yingying Zhao :+86-13815408517
  
  sub@cbsmd.cn
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Original Research2016 Nov 8;134(19):1430-1440.

JOURNAL：Circulation. Article Link

Predicting the 10-Year Risks of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Chinese Population: The China-PAR Project (Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China)

XL Yang, JX Li, DF Gu et al. Keywords: assessment; atherosclerosis; cardiovascular diseases; risk; risk factors

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND - The accurate assessment of individual risk can be of great value to guiding and facilitating the prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD). However, prediction models in common use were formulated primarily in white populations. The China-PAR project (Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China) is aimed at developing and validating 10-year risk prediction equations for ASCVD from 4 contemporary Chinese cohorts.

METHODS - Two prospective studies followed up together with a unified protocol were used as the derivation cohort to develop 10-year ASCVD risk equations in 21 320 Chinese participants. The external validation was evaluated in 2 independent Chinese cohorts with 14 123 and 70 838 participants. Furthermore, model performance was compared with the Pooled Cohort Equations reported in the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association guideline.

RESULTS - Over 12 years of follow-up in the derivation cohort with 21 320 Chinese participants, 1048 subjects developed a first ASCVD event. Sex-specific equations had C statistics of 0.794 (95% confidence interval, 0.775-0.814) for men and 0.811 (95% confidence interval, 0.787-0.835) for women. The predicted rates were similar to the observed rates, as indicated by a calibration χ² of 13.1 for men (P=0.16) and 12.8 for women (P=0.17). Good internal and external validations of our equations were achieved in subsequent analyses. Compared with the Chinese equations, the Pooled Cohort Equations had lower C statistics and much higher calibration χ²values in men.

CONCLUSIONS - Our project developed effective tools with good performance for 10-year ASCVD risk prediction among a Chinese population that will help to improve the primary prevention and management of cardiovascular disease.

Abstract

Recommended Article

Predicting the 10-Year Risks of Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease in Chinese Population: The China-PAR Project (Prediction for ASCVD Risk in China)

ABSTRACT