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Left Main & Coronary Bifurcation Summit (CBS) was founded in 2006 as a think tank dedicated to the treatment of left main and coronary bifurcation lesions. CBS aims to improve cardiological care by refreshing fundamental researches, clinical trials, yearly published guidelines, emerged ideas and case-based discussion.

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  Nanjing Heart Center
  
  Asian Bifurcation Club (ABC)
  
  Nanjing First Hospital, Nanjing Medical University
- Co-organized by
  
  Chinese Society of Cardiology (CSC)
  
  Capacity Building and Continuing Education Center,National Health and Family Planning Commission (CBCEC)
  
  American Society for Cardiovascular Angiography and Interventions (SCAI)
  
  Asian Heart Society (AHS)
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  Hongjuan Peng : +86-13913895477
  
  Haimei Xu +86-13914736846
  
  cbsnj@cbsmd.cn
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  Ling Lin : +86 (25) 52271398
  
  +86-13951884596
  
  cbs@cbsmd.cn
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  Yingying Zhao :+86-13815408517
  
  sub@cbsmd.cn
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Recommended Paper

Management of Acute Myocardial Infarction During the COVID-19 Pandemic

COVID-19 and Thrombotic or Thromboembolic Disease: Implications for Prevention, Antithrombotic Therapy, and Follow-up

CSC Expert Consensus on Principles of Clinical Management of Patients with Severe Emergent Cardiovascular Diseases during the COVID-19 Epidemic

ACC Clinical Bulletin Focuses on Cardiac Implications of Coronavirus (COVID-19)

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Clinical Trial2015 Oct 13;66(15):1643-53.

JOURNAL：J Am Coll Cardiol. Article Link

10-Year Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Using Coronary Artery Calcium and Traditional Risk Factors: Derivation in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) With Validation in the HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall) Study and the DHS (Dallas Heart Study)

McClelland RL, Jorgensen NW, Budoff M et al. Keywords: atherosclerosis; coronary disease; epidemiology; risk prediction

ABSTRACT

BACKGROUND - Several studies have demonstrated the tremendous potential of using coronary artery calcium (CAC) in addition to traditional risk factors for coronary heart disease (CHD) risk prediction. However, to date, no risk score incorporating CAC has been developed.

OBJECTIVES - The goal of this study was to derive and validate a novel risk score to estimate 10-year CHD risk using CAC and traditional risk factors.

METHODS - Algorithm development was conducted in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis), a prospective community-based cohort study of 6,814 participants age 45 to 84 years, who were free of clinical heart disease at baseline and followed for 10 years. MESA is sex balanced and included 39% non-Hispanic whites, 12% Chinese Americans, 28% African Americans, and 22% Hispanic Americans. External validation was conducted in the HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall Study) and the DHS (Dallas Heart Study).

RESULTS - Inclusion of CAC in the MESA risk score offered significant improvements in risk prediction (C-statistic 0.80 vs. 0.75; p < 0.0001). External validation in both the HNR and DHS studies provided evidence of very good discrimination and calibration. Harrell's C-statistic was 0.779 in HNR and 0.816 in DHS. Additionally, the difference in estimated 10-year risk between events and nonevents was approximately 8% to 9%, indicating excellent discrimination. Mean calibration, or calibration-in-the-large, was excellent for both studies, with average predicted 10-year risk within one-half of a percent of the observed event rate.

CONCLUSIONS - An accurate estimate of 10-year CHD risk can be obtained using traditional risk factors and CAC. The MESA risk score, which is available online on the MESA web site for easy use, can be used to aid clinicians when communicating risk to patients and when determining risk-based treatment strategies.

Abstract

Recommended Article

10-Year Coronary Heart Disease Risk Prediction Using Coronary Artery Calcium and Traditional Risk Factors: Derivation in the MESA (Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) With Validation in the HNR (Heinz Nixdorf Recall) Study and the DHS (Dallas Heart Study)

ABSTRACT